Nancy Moeller's Blog

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Short sales ... why can't it be this simple

The good news is that  4,706 short sales were closed YTD in Orange County.   These homeowner avoided foreclosure, lenders were able to minimize their loses and buyers were able to enter the market.

 

The distressing news is that 5,759 short sales were canceled, expired and withdrawn in the same period. In other words. That means that over 50% of all short sales attempted this year - failed.

 

The why is easy ... the process is ridiculous. It usually goes something like this:

 

First, agents typically under price the property to attract buyers who would otherwise stay away from short sales. Then,  dozens of buyers place offers on this and many other properties at the same time. Next, the lenders take months and months to even consider the offers. In the meantime, most of the buyers have moved on to other properties ... except the buyer with the lowest offer. But unfortunately, his offer is 20% below the comparables and the lender says "no".

 

So then, the agent goes back on the market and tries to get another offer at this possibly, but not guaranteed "approved" price. Then maybe this time, if they are lucky, they'll find a reasonable offer, if the negotiator hasn't closed the file yet, they get the highly coveted approval letter.

 

Unfortunately, the approval is only good for 30 days and as we all know, it's almost impossible to get a loan closed in 30 days in today's market. So, on Day 28 the buyer's agent sends over an urgent extension request and the negotiator responds that this delay is unacceptable and someone is going to have to pay a per diem for them to even consider an extension.

 

But remember, the glass is almost half full and despite this process, we are able to get 45% closed.

 

So, how do we fix it? Based on my inexperience with our current process, here's the easy solution to get about short sale success rate up to 95%.

 

1.  First, the seller submits a standardized hardship financial package to the lender

2.  The lender has a negotiator assigned to the property within 7 days

3.  The negotiator orders an appraisal and 2 Broker Price Opinions within 7 days

4.  The lender evaluates the package and the market value, and gives the homeowner an approved price with a 90 day window to get the property under contract

5.  The homeowner hires an experienced Realtor who lists the property as an "approved short sale" that can be closed within the same time frames as a standard or REO sale.

 

If the answer is "yeah, but ... they don't have the resources" - that's crazy nonsense. This process would save them a fortunate in time, administration, personnel and eventually foreclosure costs.

 

Have a great week!

Seven Gables Real Estate

License #01727426

www.TheOCExperts.com

www.OCMarketUpdate.com (blog)

Direct: 714 276-7006

Fax: 714 917-2293

"If You Can't Explain it Simply, You Don't Understand It Well Enough"

~ Albert Einstein

 

 

 

3 commentsNancy Moeller • November 17 2009 07:18PM

Orange County Market Facts

"If You Can't Explain it Simply, You Don't Understand It Well Enough" ~ Albert Einstein

 

Every day I read articles, statistics, trends and countless opinions on real estate. In Orange County, the market snapshot and outlook has never been clearer.  

 

Orange County Market Facts

 

1.      Supply has dropped nearly 50% since last year (7,768 properties in the OC)

2.      28% of our supply are short sales and only 22% of active short sales are closing

3.      There are only 333 bank owned properties on the market in Orange County, but 444 closed last month, meaning we have only a two week supply of REOs.

4.      Interest rates are at artificially low rates and WILL increase

5.      Investors are back in the market - both flipping and holding properties

6.      Buyers are competing with dozens of other buyers for properties

7.      Properties are selling for 98% of list price, and often - much more!

8.      More bank owned foreclosures will hit the market

9.      There is plenty of pent-up demand to handle more supply

10.  It's finally possible to achieve "positive cash flow" on Orange County rentals

 

In addition, we have tax credits available to both first time and move-up home owners. In short, it's the best time in recent history to purchase real estate.

 

What to do next: Find a great agent who understands how to beat out the competition, write a winning offer on your behalf and protect your interests throughout the process.

 

Nancy Moeller, CPA, Real Estate Broker

Seven Gables Real Estate

License #01727426

www.TheOCExperts.com

www.OCMarketUpdate.com (blog)

Direct: 714 276-7006

Fax: 714 917-2293

1 commentNancy Moeller • November 17 2009 11:08AM

Congress has extended and expanded the homebuyer tax credit

Good news for buyers and the housing market. These changes are effective when the President signs the bill. The credit offers several new features, including a $6500 credit for people who are not "first time" homeowners and a binding contract rule which will take away some of the pressure in April, 2010 when the credits are scheduled to expire. See the chart below for a summary:

0 commentsNancy Moeller • November 06 2009 01:08PM